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12月非农重回20上方，美联储降息预期再遭当头一棒

2024-01-06 12:06:04 作者：酷玩小仙女 浏览次数：99 字号： T T T

专题：12月非农重回20上方 大超预期

汇通财经快评：12月非农重回20上方，美联储降息预期再遭当头一棒

1．美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国12月非农新增就业21.6万，重回20万上方，预期17万，失业率3.7%，预期3.8%，薪资年率4.1%，预期3.9%；

2．值得注意的是11月和10月非农数据分别下修了2.6万，和4.5万，总共下修7.1万。

3．数据表明美国就业市场仍旧强劲且相较于前几个月有所升温，薪资年率上升意味着通胀可能在更长时间内保持在更高的水平。

4．非农数据意味着美联储基本不可能在3月开始降息，最早可能在6月降息，甚至可能从下半年才开始逐步降息。

5．摩根大通资产管理公司全球多资产策略师SylviaSheng称，我们的基本预测是，从今年年中开始，今年大约会有四次降息，美联储的评论，包括本周的会议纪要，可能会阻止今年过早降息。

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