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金油神策:晚间黄金多头占优 原油关注73.0生死线

2024-01-03 14:20:56 作者：财富小帮手 浏览次数：74 字号： T T T

晚间黄金分析策略：

1月2日，周一，2024年第一个交易日，由于全球大部分市场仍处于假日中，黄金变动幅度有限，国际现货金价维稳在2062美元水平附近。黄金4小时周期图来看，金价自前期低点1972.0附近起涨以来，一路上行，于1947.0附近回落，受下方双均线MA20和MA60支撑，再次反攻，高低点不断上移，最终上行至2088.3附近，后技术性回调，回落至2058.0附近，当前价格下方可见均线MA60呈上行趋势，在下方形成支撑作用，顺势指标CCI在超卖区间-100之上拐头向上，显示多头势力随时可能卷土重来，日内如有回落当以布局多单为主。黄金周线连续三周收阳，周内黄金延续缓慢上涨的走势，多头占优。短线来看，黄金多头强势，目前的走势处于12月初暴涨暴跌之后的宽幅震荡，需警惕回调的风险，上方关注2082、2088美元的阻力。

个人建议：回调做多；GOLD分水岭：2068美元/盎司

策略参考：建议2066-2068多单进场，止损6美元，目标2088附近出局

晚间原油分析策略：

原油关注欧佩克+维持供应削减的能力，这对市场稳定至关重要。此外，持续的区域冲突，特别是中东地区的冲突，可能会继续影响石油市场，给定价动态增加一层不确定性和潜在的波动性。上周五是2023年最后一个交易日，油价收跌。目前一方面面临着经济萎缩需求不佳造成的供应过剩压力，另外一方面也面临着产油国超预期减产的支撑，所以价格走势波幅会更加不稳定，上方关注5/10日均线73-73.5区域强压，若能再次回到上方则重启涨势，否则原油还会再次下跌。4小时图自76.30一线承压转换回落，构造一浪下跌，目前仍处于回落之势当中，布林道运行于中轨之下，中轨73.8是重要的阻力点。

个人建议：反弹做空；WTI分水岭：73.0美元/桶

策略参考：建议74.0-73.8空单进场，止损0.6美元，目标72.0附近出局

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